Global Dynamics of Termite Population: Modeling, Control and Role in Green House Effect

Abstract:
The importance of termite (Isoptera) population for world ecology is based on: it is extremely populated order; this order increases its population during many years; these insects have a big importance because of destroying wood construction; the taxon has important effect on concentration of global carbon and carbon dioxide having effect on green house effect and world climate. The aim of this work is to suggest model of termite population and their gas productivity, basing of ecological principle and empiric data. Model is based on: models of population dynamics by V. Volterra and G. Gause, and models of cyclical oscillations of population structure suggested by N.Kondratyev. The control of termites by pesticides is not effective. The more effective may be control by operation of their ecological niche. According to both theoretical and empirical data, the maximum of termite population would be gotten during 2020s years. The input of green house gases by termite is three times more than social sources. Green plants would compensate this input. A little global warmer of 2nd part of 20th century would be changed by little colder. The role of termite and human activity in the processes would be not signifi cant. The population of termite would be stable during more than 100 years.